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Silver Speaks About Maine…

October 1, 2009

…And when Nate Silver speaks, I listen.

Silver has a new post up looking at the odds for the marriage ban passing in Maine in November.  Silver is known for be eerily accurate at predicting both baseball and politics and has proven himself one of the best in the field (he predicted 49 of 50 states in the 2008 election).  And I like what he has to say:

Time to play oddsmaker: I’d lay about 3 to 1 against the marriage ban passing. But it’s liable to fairly close — clearly a winnable campaign for conservatives and a losable one for liberals, especially if the sort of complacency sets in that we saw in California.

We still need to fight hard, because no matter what, it’s going to be close.  Donate here.

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